Modelling natural catastrophe risk for offshore wind farms

Future-proof offshore wind farms with Renew Risk’s natural catastrophe risk modelling insights 

The energy market is in full transition, with an ever-growing inventory of renewable energy infrastructure. However, these large-scale projects are increasingly being built in natural catastrophe zones - and the natural disasters are expected to become more intense and more frequent in the future.  

Catastrophe modelling plays a crucial role in assessing and managing risk to offshore wind farms. Renew Risk is the only organisation providing risk modelling specifically tailored to renewable energy assets.  

  • Increase pricing accuracy

  • Reduce uncertainty

  • Improve financial planning.

Our advanced risk modelling enables organisations to:  

Typical natural catastrophe risk models were designed for onshore property and traditional insurance exposures, and fall short when applied to offshore wind farms.

Introducing Renew Risk - the renewables risk management specialists 

Providing enhanced risk models built from the ground up specifically for offshore wind farms. Strengthen resilience and decision-making for offshore wind farms around the globe with Renew Risk’s catastrophe models. 

  • A comprehensive view of windstorm risk to offshore wind farms around the UK.  

    UK Windstorm Model

    A comprehensive view of windstorm risk to offshore wind farms around the UK.  

  • Europe Windstorm Model

    Europe Windstorm Model

    Build resilience into your risk management for offshore wind farms along the European coastline. 

  • Access specialist risk intelligence for offshore wind farms located around earthquake-prone Japan. 

    Japan Earthquake Model

    Access specialist risk intelligence for offshore wind farms located around earthquake-prone Japan. 

  • Japan Typhoon Model

    Japan Typhoon Model

    Understand your exposure to typhoons in Japan.  

  • Taiwan Earthquake Model

    Taiwan Earthquake Model

    Manage your offshore wind farms in Taiwan with an extensive view of earthquake risk for the region. 

  • Taiwan Typhoon Model

    Taiwan Typhoon Model

    Estimate typhoon losses to support risk management for offshore wind farms in Taiwan 

  • US Hurricane Model

    US Hurricane Model

    Quantify hurricane risk for assets located on the East Coast of the US. 

Get in touch to learn more about our offshore wind farm models

A framework for Renew Risk’s offshore wind catastrophe models 

  • A mix of historic and stochastic events representing 10,000 years of activity. The spatial extent of events, characterised by size, location and return period, per grid cell.  

  • Explicitly capturing the wind and wave intensity for the areas of exposure.   

  • Asset value distributions. Renew Risk’s exposure data includes extra expenses – a per-asset cost of repair / reinstatement above the per-asset cost of initial installation. This includes vessel-costs and a loss of economies of scale, and each is defined by event and wind farm.  

  • In some parts of the world, offshore wind farms are a new addition to the energy mix. In other regions, wind farms are undergoing repair and replacement activities to expand their generating capacity and lifespan. In both scenarios, this results in limited claims data. Renew Risk specialist approach to vulnerability comprises:  

    • Reviewing existing damage and claims data 

    • Laboratory testing at the University of Surrey by Renew Risk Co-Founder Professor Suby Bhattacharya 

    • Expert elicitation from cross-industry consultants.  

  • Calculating various loss metrics for different financial perspectives. 

Key features of Renew Risk’s natural catastrophe models for offshore wind farms

In-depth risk insights  

Our models offer an unparalleled level of detail, capturing asset-specific features such as substations, cables and foundations, with modifiers including soil type and asset age. 

Regionally calibrated  

Traditional risk models use wind only landfall-calibrated measurements. Renew Risk’s models are built using at-site calibrations for wind speed and explicitly capture wave height.

Industry validated

We believe the best models are built together. We partner with leading experts across insurance, data science and engineering to create models that are asset-focused and enable risk professionals to navigate the complexities of offshore wind farm exposure with confidence.

Science driven

Underpinned by calculations by world-leading experts and enhanced by real-world experiments conducted in university labs.

Location specific  

Capturing unique features for offshore wind farms, such as vessel mobilisation / demobilisation costs and supplier surcharges.

Testimonials

  • “There has been a pressing need for a custom-built offshore wind catastrophe model to accurately assess the probability of loss for this rapidly developing asset class in high-risk zones. These models will assist both offshore wind clients and insurers to access more efficient risk transfer capital. They will enable insurers and reinsurers to price coverage more accurately, understand asset class aggregations, and assess offshore wind's impact on other lines of business - previously inaccessible insights. This will give insurers and reinsurers the confidence to provide greater capacity at more appropriate pricing levels to our offshore wind clients in high catastrophe zones.


    ” Tom Sexton, Partner and Head of Renewables, Power and Energy – McGill & Partners”

  • We are delighted to partner with Renew Risk. This partnership will enable us to enhance our offshore wind services by using Renew Risk’s pioneering catastrophe models. Renew Risk’s models will help us better understand and quantify the complex catastrophe risks of offshore wind assets, which will allow us to offer more tailored and competitive pricing.

    ” - Fraser McLachlan, Chairman – Tokio Marine G

Quantify and manage the risk of catastrophic events with Renew Risk’s offshore wind models

Get in touch to learn more.

Frequently asked questions

  • Renew Risk provides enhanced risk intelligence and modelling for renewable energy infrastructure around the globe. These risk analytics help insurers, developers and financiers to understand, manage and quantify the risks to their renewable assets - whether that’s financial risk, engineering failures and faults or natural catastrophes.

  • Renew Risk’s product portfolio is specifically tailored to renewable energy infrastructure. These in-depth risk insights are key for risk professionals to effectively quantify and price risk.

    Prior to Renew Risk’s formation, no commercially available risk models on the market were specifically tailored to the renewable energy asset class.

  • In addition to renewable sites growing in size and frequency, they are increasingly being constructed in regions prone to extreme weather events. Improved risk modelling for renewable assets supports better planning, pricing and resilience strategies.